I’ve Moved to Substack!
I am no longer adding new posts on this site. I am now writing on Substack, where I have a newsletter called “Check Your Work”. I have archived my best articles from this site over on Substack.
ACIP October Meeting & Covid Vaccines for Children
This article (and future ones) are available at my Substack – “Check Your Work” The debate and drama over this week’s ACIP meeting has been a hot mess, but I’ve done a lot of reading this week and want to share what I know. These are the facts as best I can determine. The Backstory: …
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Misleading Covid Death Numbers
This article (and future ones) are available at my Substack – “Check Your Work” For a variety of reasons, the number of Covid deaths being reported in the media or by “experts” are misleading and not accurate. I’ve had a few Twitter threads about this, but there are two simple and obvious things that many …
Fact Check: Covid as a Leading Cause of Death in Children
This article (and future ones) are available at my Substack – “Check Your Work” In the CDC ACIP meeting on June 17 to discuss childhood Covid vaccines, a table was presented showing Covid was a leading cause of death in US children as part of a slide deck on the epidemiology of Covid-19 in children …
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Georgia Week in Review – June 8
Cases in Georgia have been stubborn about falling from this wave, which continues more like a slow burn than a sharp spike. Test positivity is the only thing that’s rising to levels approaching what past waves have. Hospital metrics remain historically low. Cases are almost certainly underreported more than previous waves, but they have not …
Covid vs. Flu for Kids
This article (and future ones) are available at my Substack – “Check Your Work” UPDATE: Faust has responded to some of the criticism of his original analysis. He has acknowledged the “good point” that he used multiple CoD for Covid vs underlying CoD for influenza. This was the key point in my criticism of his …
Georgia Week in Review – May 18
Cases continue to rise in Georgia, but we may be nearing a peak. As I described last week, test positivity continues to increase, but other metrics are not following the same trajectory as the increases in positivity like they have during past waves. You can see this clearly in the graph below. Previous waves all …
Georgia Week in Review – May 11
Cases are still rising in Georgia – the little dip on May 3-4 was just a reporting blip as I suggested it might be. Test positivity is continuing to rise well over 5%, but as I mentioned last week, our thresholds for “good” test positivity likely needs to shift. For the first time, positivity is …
Georgia Week in Review – May 4
Cases continued to rise over the past week in Georgia. There was a small decline in the cases by report date on May 3 and 4, but it’s too early to tell if that’s a real signal of slowing case increases or just a hiccup in data reporting. Test positivity rose over 5% this week, …
Georgia Week in Review – April 27
Cases have been rising in Georgia but are still at a low level. Test positivity is also rising, though still under 5%, and with testing volume decreasing. With less asymptomatic testing, our thresholds for “good” test positivity will need to shift. The biggest case increases have been in the Metro Atlanta region, but other regions …